A brand new ballot within the race for New York Metropolis mayor could also be some excellent news for Andrew Cuomo, however maybe not so good as he might need hoped.
Within the Marist ballot for June, it exhibits Cuomo breaking the 50% threshold within the seventh spherical of ranked alternative voting. The previous New York governor was the first-choice candidate of practically 40% of seemingly Democratic major voters, together with those that weren’t but determined.
The closest competitor was State Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, who received simply over 1 / 4 of the vote, in keeping with the ballot. No different candidate eclipsed10%.
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Whereas Cuomo nonetheless seems to be the frontrunner 5 days into the early voting interval, his lead over the sector has slipped. In Might, he had a 19-point edge over Mamdani when it got here to first-choice picks; the most recent ballot has that margin right down to 11 factors.
There was an enormous thriller issue that would assist decide the end result of the race, and it doesn’t have a lot to do with both of the main candidates. The ballot confirmed 11% of seemingly Democratic major voters have been nonetheless undecided on who their first alternative could be, whereas one other 11% didn’t choose Cuomo nor Mamdani — maybe making cross endorsements all that rather more cruicial.
Damaged down by county, Cuomo continues to dominate within the Bronx, the place he will get practically half the help. That is still just like the numbers polls confirmed in Might. Cuomo has elevated his lead over the others in Manhattan “from 32% in Might to 41% in June. Mamdani’s help has held regular in Manhattan from month to month.
Mamdani performs the very best in Brooklyn, the place he has seen an 11-point improve from Might, as much as 36%. In Kings County, Cuomo has remained regular. He additionally leads in Queens and Staten Island.
The place Mamdani noticed the most important enhancements was amongst seemingly voters who’re Latino, the Marist ballot confirmed. It has greater than doubled (from 20% to 41%) in that point, whereas Cuomo’s help in the neighborhood dropped 5 factors.
In a round-by-round estimate, the ballot discovered Cuomo hit 50% of the votes in Spherical 6, when solely two different candidates (Mamdani and NYC Comptroller Brad Lander) have been nonetheless round. Mamdani was at 37%, and Lander at 13%.
Regardless of their candidate cross-endorsing Mamdani, Lander’s supporters have been extra break up relating to who to place after. Mamdani picked up six factors within the seventh spherical, however Cuomo picked up 5 factors, which might be sufficient to place Cuomo excessive.
