Meeting Member and Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani (left) and unbiased mayoral candidate and former Gov. Andrew Cuomo.
Photograph by Lloyd Mitchell
In Quinnipiac’s newest ballot of 1,015 doubtless voters, taken Oct. 3-7, Cuomo noticed a ten% uptick in his vote share to 33% from 23% — the place it stood within the college’s final survey on Sept. 10. Cuomo’s increase seems to have come immediately from him choosing up help from doubtless voters of Mayor Adams, who dropped his reelection bid on Sept. 28. Adams’ identify, nevertheless, will stay on the Nov. 4 poll, that means that some voters should choose him.
Even with Cuomo receiving a surge of help, the ballot nonetheless reveals Mamdani main the three-way contest by double digits, with 46% of the vote — a 13% lead. Mamdani’s help grew by simply 1% between Quinnipiac’s Sept. 10 ballot and the brand new survey launched Thursday.
Republican Curtis Sliwa, in the meantime, stays in third place with 15% help, in keeping with the ballot, which has a margin of error of +/- 3.9%.
“The numbers changed, but the contours of the race haven’t. Andrew Cuomo picked up the bulk of Adams’ supporters, cutting into Zohran Mamdani’s lead, but Mamdani’s frontrunner status by double digits stays intact,” stated Quinnipiac College Ballot Assistant Director Mary Snow in a press release.
However, Cuomo’s marketing campaign spokesperson, Wealthy Azzopardi, shortly took a victory lap over the previous governor’s improved standing on Thursday afternoon.
“Today’s Quinnipiac poll confirms what New Yorkers are seeing across the five boroughs — this race is shifting decisively,” Azzopardi stated in a press release. “Andrew Cuomo is up 10 points since September, while Zohran Mamdani remains stagnant and Curtis Sliwa continues to fade away.”
Azzopardi added that Cuomo has seen “a surge in fundraising, endorsements, and volunteers” within the practically two weeks since Adams bowed out of the race. The previous governor practically doubled his fundraising haul from the earlier submitting interval, his marketing campaign reported final week, and was awarded $2.3 million in public matching funds by town Marketing campaign Finance Board on Thursday.
Mamdani is just not curbing his enthusiasm
Mamdani’s spokesperson, Dora Pekec, dismissed Cuomo’s polling good points in a press release.
“Zohran is meeting voters every day in all five boroughs, who are ready to turn the page on the broken politics of the past and build a city everyone can afford,” Pekec stated. “As the billionaires continue to throw out their last-ditched efforts to prop up Andrew Cuomo, we have genuine enthusiasm and 80,000 volunteers on our side. Last time, it wasn’t the billionaires who won that matchup.”
Thursday’s Quinnipiac survey confirmed a large enthusiasm hole between Mamdani and Cuomo amongst their doubtless voters.
Ninety % of doubtless voters backing Mamdani are both very (56%) or considerably (34%) keen about him. In contrast, solely 69% of Cuomo supporters are both very enthusiastic (28%) or considerably enthusiastic (41%).
Sliwa’s voters had been additionally much more enthusiastic than Cuomo’s. Eighty-five % stated they had been both very (52%) or considerably (33%) in regards to the Republican nominee.
Moreover, Mamdani leads amongst Democrats (60%), independents (41%), and throughout most demographic teams — together with Black (48%), Hispanic (50%), and Asian (67%) doubtless voters. He nonetheless holds a bonus in each borough besides Staten Island and with voters below 49.
The ballot additionally reveals that extra voters consider Mamdani can be higher at dealing with sure points and that there’s not a lot distinction between him and Cuomo on others.
For example, 48% of these polled consider Mamdani can be higher at decreasing housing prices, whereas 25% favor Cuomo. However in the case of coping with President Trump, Mamdani solely leads Cuomo by one level — 35% to 34%.
“Much has been said about the issue not on the ballot but looming over the race: President Trump,” Snow stated. “Both Mamdani and Cuomo make the case they’ll be the best guardrail over New York City’s interests under Trump. But voters don’t see much daylight between them.”
