Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa (left), Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani, and former Gov. and unbiased candidate Andrew Cuomo.
Photographs by Lloyd Mitchell
The 2025 NYC’s Mayor’s Race seems to be rising a bit tighter with every week left earlier than the massive normal election, in keeping with a brand new public ballot launched Monday.
Impartial former Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s mayoral marketing campaign is touting main positive factors on frontrunner Democrat Zohran Mamdani, citing a new Suffolk College ballot of the Nov. 4 normal election, revealed on Oct. 27, as proof that “momentum is on our side.” The Suffolk survey has the previous governor chopping Mamdani’s lead roughly in half in contrast its final ballot in September, which had Cuomo at 25%, Mamdani at 45%, Sliwa at 9% and Mayor Eric Adams at 8%.
The newest ballot of 500 possible normal election voters, carried out from Oct. 23-26, exhibits Cuomo with 34% in comparison with the democratic socialist Mamdani’s 44%. Republican Curtis Sliwa is available in third at 11%, with the remaining vote divided among the many different 4 candidates on the poll (2%), those that are undecided (7%), and those that refuse to reply (2%). The margin of error within the ballot is +/- 4.4%.
Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa continues to garner a fraction of the vote, and that would in the end price Cuomo the mayor’s seat.
The Oct. 27 survey seems to be in step with different polls taken since Adams’ exit, displaying that the majority of Cuomo’s increase might have come from Mayor Eric Adams’ exit from the race final month. Adams continues to be listed on the poll although he suspended his marketing campaign and endorsed Cuomo final week.
Cuomo sees momentum, Mamdani sounds warning
However, the Cuomo group stated on Monday that the Suffolk College ballot exhibits the tide is popping of their favor.
“Today’s Suffolk University poll shows exactly what we’re seeing on the ground: This is a two-man race, momentum is on our side, and the more New Yorkers learn about how dangerously inexperienced Zohran Mamdani is — and about his extremist agenda — the less they like what they see,” Cuomo spokesperson Wealthy Azzopardi stated in an announcement.
Azzopardi added that Mamdani was in the identical place that Cuomo is now through the Democratic main, when the previous governor was forward earlier than Mamdani defeated him in an upset on main night time.
The Cuomo spokesperson additionally referenced a Monday report in Gothamist on polling information, which indicated that voters 55 and older made up simply over half of the 160,000-plus New Yorkers who forged early ballots over the weekend.
Mamdani marketing campaign spokesperson Dora Pekec, nonetheless, expressed confidence that New Yorkers have been able to “turn the page” on Cuomo.
“New Yorkers across this city are ready for change and we hope they’ll join our army of 90,000 volunteers and growing to keep talking to friends and neighbors and knocking on doors to win a city we can all afford,” Pekec stated.
In line with the ballot, Cuomo’s most vital achieve was with Hispanic voters, whom he now leads by 1%, in comparison with a 30% deficit he confronted with them final month. Moreover, he now leads with Impartial voters by 10%, an enormous swing from being underwater with them by 18% in September.
However whereas the ballot exhibits Cuomo and Mamdani with comparable favorability ranges, 42% to 46% respectively, the previous governor has greater unfavorables than the Democratic nominee — 47% to 37%.
Pollster: Sliwa has ‘outsized impact on the outcome’
David Paleologos, director of Suffolk College’s Political Analysis Heart, stated in an announcement that the survey exhibits what Cuomo’s marketing campaign has lengthy argued: that Sliwa’s continued presence within the race is obstructing him from overtaking Mamdani.
“There is one person in New York City whose voters could have an outsized impact on the outcome,” Paleologos stated. “That person isn’t Mayor Eric Adams, U.S. Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, U.S. Sen. Chuck Schumer, or any New York billionaire. It’s Republican Curtis Sliwa, whose voters hold the 11% blocking Cuomo from winning the race. And when asked for their second choice, those voters preferred Cuomo over Mamdani 36%-2%.”
Sliwa has regularly resisted calls from Cuomo and different moderates to bow out of the race, implying that solely his personal loss of life would lead to his now not operating.
The Sliwa marketing campaign has not but responded to New York News requests for remark in regards to the ballot.
