Republican Curtis Sliwa (left), Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani, and impartial former Gov. Andrew Cuomo.
Photograph by Lloyd Mitchell
With 5 voting days remaining and a heavy turnout in early voting exhibiting encouraging indicators for Andrew Cuomo, the newest Quinnipiac College ballot launched on Wednesday indicated a barely tightening race, with the frontrunner, Zohran Mamdani, dropping votes whereas the variety of undecided voters will increase.
The ballot of 911 seemingly New York Metropolis voters, carried out from Oct. 23 to 27, discovered that Mamdani misplaced three proportion factors since its final survey on Oct. 9 — dropping to 43% from 46%. Cuomo’s assist remained regular between the 2 polls, at 33%, however he’s now inside 10 factors of Mamdani. Republican Curtis Sliwa, in the meantime, misplaced one level, dropping from 15% to 14%.
The brand new ballot, which has a +/- 4% margin of error, discovered that 6% of voters are undecided; that’s double from the three% who stated they have been undecided within the earlier Quinnipiac ballot. Three p.c refused to reply, in comparison with 2% who did the identical within the earlier survey.
Wednesday’s Quinnipiac ballot outcomes have been per a Monday Suffolk College survey that additionally confirmed Cuomo inside 10 factors of Mamdani.
“The candidates have made their case, early voting is underway, Zohran Mamdani has a 10-point lead over Andrew Cuomo with Curtis Sliwa a distant third, but one wildcard remains,” stated Mary Snow, Quinnipiac College Ballot assistant director, in an announcement.
“The percentage of likely voters not weighing in has increased a bit since earlier this month, suggesting there’s room for movement in the final stretch,” she added.
Cuomo noticed huge features in Quinnipiac’s earlier survey, the primary the pollster carried out since incumbent Mayor Eric Adams suspended his marketing campaign late final month.
‘The race is tightening,’ Cuomo rep says
Cuomo spokesperson Wealthy Azzopardi stated the ballot exhibits, “the race is tightening, and Andrew Cuomo is closing in fast.”
“This is the second poll in a week showing Zohran Mamdani stuck below 45% of the vote,” he stated, referring to the Suffolk ballot. “The momentum is with Andrew Cuomo — and it’s only growing every day.”
The newest survey exhibits Mamdani comfortably forward of Cuomo amongst Democratic voters — by 59% to 31%. Mamdani is a democratic socialist Queens state lawmaker.
Nevertheless, Cuomo, who has been courting GOP voters, holds a slight lead over Sliwa with Republicans — 45% to 44%. Mamani and Cuomo are polling the identical amongst Independents — 34%, whereas 18% of them again Sliwa.
“Zohran’s going to take his message to every single voter because every New Yorker deserves a city they can afford,” Mamdani’s spokesperson Dora Pekec stated in an announcement. “Now is not the time to be complacent.”
The Queens lawmaker additionally holds an edge in the case of voter enthusiasm, with 45% viewing him favorably, in comparison with 41% who view him unfavorably. In contrast, solely 34% of voters see Cuomo favorably, whereas 54% don’t.
Sliwa’s marketing campaign didn’t instantly reply to a request for remark.
The technology hole
Mamdani continues to steer amongst youthful voters, whereas Cuomo performs higher with older voters.
The Democratic nominee, 34, is forward of Cuomo, 67, with voters aged 18 to 34 by 64% to twenty% and 35 to 49 by 50% to 25%. Then again, Cuomo leads amongst voters aged 50 to 64 by 41% to 35% and people 65 and older by 39% to 33%.
“Mamdani is the clear favorite among younger voters while the race is much closer among voters 50 and over as Cuomo and Sliwa fare better among older voters,” Snow stated.
A plurality of early voters to this point are these 61 and older, based on unofficial metropolis Board of Elections early voting information, as reported by New York News. Azzopardi stated that’s good for Cuomo.
“Most importantly – older voters are breaking hard for Cuomo, and they’re the ones showing up early,” Azzopardi stated.
