Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani speaks throughout a Democratic mayoral major debate, Wednesday, June 4, 2025, in New York. Yuki Iwamura/Pool by way of REUTERS
Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani leads former Gov. Andrew Cuomo by 10 factors in New York Metropolis’s common election for mayor, whereas Mayor Eric Adams ranks decrease than Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa, in response to a brand new impartial ballot.
Mamdani leads with 35% of voters, adopted by Cuomo at 25%, Sliwa at 14%, Adams at 11% and impartial candidate Jim Walden at 1%. However 13% of voters additionally stay undecided, presenting a potential alternative for campaigns to choose up extra votes.
Polling agency Slingshot Methods, which is unaffiliated with any candidate after working for Scott Stringer within the Democratic major, spoke to 1,036 voters from July 2 to July 6. The outcomes have a margin of error of 4.2 factors.
The outcomes might assist inform Cuomo as he decides whether or not to mount an impartial marketing campaign. His identify will seem on the “Fight and Deliver” poll line in November, however he has but to clarify if he’ll actively marketing campaign.
A spokesperson from Cuomo’s marketing campaign didn’t instantly reply to a request for remark.
The ballot additionally reveals Mamdani with a various vary of voters. Although he has the best benefit amongst white, college-educated and feminine voters — persevering with the same sample from the first — he additionally leads amongst Black and Latino voters, with 35% and 45% of the respective vote.
Adams, who’s Black, trails each Cuomo and Mamdani amongst Black voters at solely 14%, mirroring his citywide numbers. His web approval score is at -34, in comparison with Mamdani’s +4 and Cuomo’s -2.
Adams solely carried out higher than Mamdani amongst Republican voters, together with his 26% second solely to Sliwa’s 43%.
A spokesperson for Adams’ marketing campaign, Todd Shapiro, stated in a press release to New York News that Adams has solely begun campaigning and the ballot didn’t seize the extent of his floor momentum.
“Let’s not forget: just weeks ago, Andrew Cuomo was ahead in multiple polls and then went on to lose the primary by double digits,” Shapiro stated. “History is filled with similar polling failures — because polls don’t capture momentum, ground game, or the will of real New Yorkers who are only now tuning in.”
Cuomo and Adams, in addition to distinguished supporters of every, have been publicly encouraging the opposite to drop out in an effort to consolidate opposition in opposition to Mamdani, who they view as too far left for New York. Sliwa has additionally confronted some stress, together with from fellow Republicans, to do the identical.
The ballot additionally reveals a divide between New Yorkers with kids in personal versus public faculties: Cuomo leads Mamdani by 14 factors for households with kids in personal faculty, whereas Mamdani leads Cuomo by 13 for these attending public faculties. The United Federation of Academics, which represents New York’s public faculty academics, endorsed Mamdani on Tuesday, citing his dedication to public faculties.
The Slingshot Methods ballot mirrors current numbers as Mamdani, who receives help from 47% of Democrats, seems to shore up help from skeptical Democratic Celebration leaders. In current weeks, main unions — that are conventional Democratic energy brokers — have backed him, significantly ones that supported Cuomo or remained impartial within the major.
