Prime mayoral candidates former Gov. Andrew Cuomo (left) and Meeting Member Zohran Mamdani.
Images by Lloyd Mitchell
A brand new ballot of the June 24 mayoral Democratic major launched Wednesday night time reveals Democratic socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani main average Andrew Cuomo by 4 factors. This marks the primary time any survey within the race has had a candidate eclipse Cuomo’s constant lead.
On the identical time, nevertheless, Crew Cuomo pointed to a separate ballot that confirmed the previous governor sustaining a cushty double-digit benefit.
Mamdani, a Queens Meeting member, leads a survey, performed by Public Coverage Polling, because the best choice of 35% of the 573 voters polled. The result’s simply inside the 4.1% margin of error. The ballot didn’t embody a ranked-choice voting simulation.
It has Cuomo, the previous governor who’s making an attempt a political comeback, coming in second with 31% and metropolis Comptroller Brad Lander third with 9%.
The ballot, first reported by Politico, follows one other latest survey by Information for Progress, taken on behalf of a brilliant PAC supporting Mamdani, that had the Democratic socialist lawmaker simply two factors behind Cuomo within the ultimate spherical of ranked-choice. Each level to a attainable last-minute shakeup of the race, wherein Mamdani poses a severe problem to Cuomo’s previously insurmountable snug lead.
The Public Coverage Polling survey was performed between June 6-7 on behalf of metropolis Comptroller candidate Justin Brannan’s marketing campaign. Brannan, who represents elements of southern Brooklyn within the Metropolis Council, and Mamdani have been each endorsed by the New York Working Households Occasion.
It captured voters’ emotions on the race following the primary Democratic major debate final Wednesday and US Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s primary rating of Mamdani the following day.
“While Cuomo hides, lies and has his billionaire donors fund deceptive attack ads, Zohran’s grassroots, citywide campaign has focused relentlessly on an agenda to improve the lives of working people—and New Yokrers are responding,” Mamdani spokesperson Andrew Epstein stated in a press release. “We’re so close to turning the page on the corrupt politics of the past and winning a city we can all afford.”
Completely different ballot, totally different story
The ballot being highlighted by Cuomo’s marketing campaign, performed by Honan Technique Group in partnership with the LGBTQ+ nonprofit Vacation spot Tomorrow, confirmed the previous governor successful by 12 factors within the ultimate spherical of a ranked-choice voting simulation. This result’s extra in keeping with the overwhelming majority of polls performed within the race, wherein Cuomo has constantly led by double digits.
The Honan ballot was taken between June 5 and 9, roughly the identical interval because the Public Coverage survey. It surveyed 975 doubtless Democratic metropolis voters. The margin of error is +/- 2.76%.
That very same ballot included an oversample of 282 LGBTQ+ Democratic voters, which confirmed Mamdani with a four-point lead on Cuomo (25% to 21%), a spot that’s inside the oversample’s 6.82% margin of error.
Cuomo’s spokesperson Wealthy Azzopardi stated in a press release: “It’s telling that the only polls showing this trend line are paid for by Zohran Mamdani Inc.”
He gave the impression to be referring to each the Mamdani-aligned PAC that commissioned the Information for Progress ballot and Mamdani encouraging his supporters to donate to Brannan’s marketing campaign in a social media video earlier this week — though the ballot was performed earlier than he posted the video.
“As you know, we have had a poll in the field at the same time, and our poll showed a race with us maintaining what has now been a consistent double-digit lead for more than three months, which is rare for any NYC Mayoral race in recent memory,” Azzopardi added.
A tighter comptroller’s race?
In the meantime, the Public Coverage ballot confirmed Brannan gaining some floor in his heated race with Manhattan Borough President Mark Levine, who nonetheless holds the lead.
It has Brannan with 19% in comparison with Levine with 30% and a whopping 44% of voters nonetheless undecided. The 2 comptroller hopefuls confronted off of their ultimate debate earlier this week.
